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The singularity is not near: slowing growth of Wikipedia
Abstract Prior research on Wikipedia has characteriPrior research on Wikipedia has characterized the growth in content and editors as being fundamentally exponential in nature, extrapolating current trends into the future. We show that recent editing activity suggests that Wikipedia growth has slowed, and perhaps plateaued, indicating that it may have come against its limits to growth. We measure growth, population shifts, and patterns of editor and administrator activities, contrasting these against past results where possible. Both the rate of page growth and editor growth has declined. As growth has declined, there are indicators of increased coordination and overhead costs, exclusion of newcomers, and resistance to new edits. We discuss some possible explanations for these new developments in Wikipedia including decreased opportunities for sharing existing knowledge and increased bureaucratic stress on the socio-technical system itself.ress on the socio-technical system itself.
Abstractsub Prior research on Wikipedia has characteriPrior research on Wikipedia has characterized the growth in content and editors as being fundamentally exponential in nature, extrapolating current trends into the future. We show that recent editing activity suggests that Wikipedia growth has slowed, and perhaps plateaued, indicating that it may have come against its limits to growth. We measure growth, population shifts, and patterns of editor and administrator activities, contrasting these against past results where possible. Both the rate of page growth and editor growth has declined. As growth has declined, there are indicators of increased coordination and overhead costs, exclusion of newcomers, and resistance to new edits. We discuss some possible explanations for these new developments in Wikipedia including decreased opportunities for sharing existing knowledge and increased bureaucratic stress on the socio-technical system itself.ress on the socio-technical system itself.
Bibtextype inproceedings  +
Citeulike 6405322  +
Doi 10.1145/1641309.1641322  +
Has author Bongwon Suh + , Gregorio Convertino + , Ed H. Chi + , Peter Pirolli +
Has extra keyword Current trends + , Logistic models + , Overhead costs + , Power law + , Sociotechnical systems + , Wikipedia +
Has keyword Growth + , Logistic model + , Population + , Power law + , Resistance + , Wikipedia +
Has remote mirror http://www.cs.umn.edu/~echi/papers/2009-WikiSym/wikipedia-slow-growth-ASC-PARC.pdf  +
Isbn 9781605587301  +
Language English +
Number of citations by publication 13  +
Number of references by publication 0  +
Pages 1-10  +
Published in WikiSym +
Title The singularity is not near: slowing growth of Wikipedia +
Type conference paper  +
Year 2009 +
Creation dateThis property is a special property in this wiki. 29 January 2012 12:41:18  +
Categories Publications without license parameter  + , Publications without archive mirror parameter  + , Publications without paywall mirror parameter  + , Conference papers  + , Publications without references parameter  + , Publications  +
Modification dateThis property is a special property in this wiki. 19 November 2014 14:29:45  +
DateThis property is a special property in this wiki. 2009  +
hide properties that link here 
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The singularity is not near: slowing growth of Wikipedia + Title
 

 

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